PZZA

PZZA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($31.20)
DCF$12.64-59.5%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 11.5%
DDM$37.90+21.5%
EV/EBITDA$32.33+3.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $74.88M
Rev: -6.1% / EPS: -53.5%
Computed: 5.79%
Computed WACC: 5.79%
Cost of equity (Re)11.09%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.24 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)52.19%
Debt weight (D/V)47.81%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$52.24
Current Price$31.20
Upside / Downside+67.4%
Net Debt (used)$900.22M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$12.98$21.16$30.67$41.68$54.37
8.0%$5.79$12.37$20.01$28.85$39.02
9.0%$0.80$6.28$12.64$19.98$28.41
10.0%$-2.86$1.82$7.23$13.47$20.64
11.0%$-5.66$-1.60$3.10$8.51$14.71

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.14
Yahoo: $-13.56

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$31.20
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.79%
Computed WACC: 5.79%
Cost of equity (Re)11.09%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.24 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)52.19%
Debt weight (D/V)47.81%

Results

Current Price$31.20
Implied Near-term FCF Growth0.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-6.1%
Historical Earnings Growth-53.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$74.88M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.84

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$37.90
Current Price$31.20
Upside / Downside+21.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $201.79M
Current: 9.7×
Default: $900.22M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$32.33
Current Price$31.20
Upside / Downside+3.6%
Implied EV$1.96B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.10B-$99.78M$900.22M$1.90B$2.90B
5.7x$68.71$38.21$7.71$-22.79$-53.28
7.7x$81.01$50.52$20.02$-10.48$-40.98
9.7x$93.32$62.82$32.33$1.83$-28.67
11.7x$105.63$75.13$44.64$14.14$-16.36
13.7x$117.94$87.44$56.94$26.45$-4.05