QLYS

QLYS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($94.59)
DCF$380.18+301.9%
Graham Number$44.32-53.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -2.1%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$94.11-0.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $259.13M
Rev: 10.1% / EPS: 23.6%
Computed: 7.31%
Computed WACC: 7.31%
Cost of equity (Re)7.42%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.57 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.49%
Debt weight (D/V)1.51%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$533.46
Current Price$94.59
Upside / Downside+464.0%
Net Debt (used)-$393.67M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term15.6%19.6%23.6%27.6%31.6%
7.0%$419.32$491.78$574.38$668.16$774.22
8.0%$336.81$394.03$459.22$533.19$616.81
9.0%$280.15$326.93$380.18$440.57$508.80
10.0%$238.96$278.16$322.76$373.30$430.37
11.0%$207.76$241.23$279.28$322.39$371.03

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.56
Yahoo: $15.71

Results

Graham Number$44.32
Current Price$94.59
Margin of Safety-53.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.31%
Computed WACC: 7.31%
Cost of equity (Re)7.42%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.57 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.49%
Debt weight (D/V)1.51%

Results

Current Price$94.59
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-6.5%
Historical Revenue Growth10.1%
Historical Earnings Growth23.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$259.13M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$94.59
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $236.44M
Current: 12.6×
Default: -$393.67M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$94.11
Current Price$94.59
Upside / Downside-0.5%
Implied EV$2.98B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.39B-$1.39B-$393.67M$606.33M$1.61B
8.6x$123.51$95.62$67.73$39.84$11.96
10.6x$136.69$108.81$80.92$53.03$25.14
12.6x$149.88$121.99$94.11$66.22$38.33
14.6x$163.07$135.18$107.29$79.41$51.52
16.6x$176.26$148.37$120.48$92.59$64.71