QUAD

QUAD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($6.73)
DCF$2588.57+38363.1%
Graham Number$5.69-15.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 22.7%
DDM$8.24+22.4%
EV/EBITDA$9.22+37.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $13.24M
Rev: -11.0% / EPS: 136.0%
Computed: 10.67%
Computed WACC: 10.67%
Cost of equity (Re)10.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.15 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)13.52%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)44.14%
Debt weight (D/V)55.86%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1841.12
Current Price$6.73
Upside / Downside+27256.9%
Net Debt (used)$381.80M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term128.0%132.0%136.0%140.0%144.0%
7.0%$3608.95$3937.32$4289.12$4665.58$5067.97
8.0%$2755.55$3006.40$3275.14$3562.72$3870.10
9.0%$2177.69$2376.06$2588.57$2815.96$3059.01
10.0%$1764.18$1924.98$2097.25$2281.58$2478.61
11.0%$1456.21$1589.04$1731.34$1883.60$2046.35

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.57
Yahoo: $2.53

Results

Graham Number$5.69
Current Price$6.73
Margin of Safety-15.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.67%
Computed WACC: 10.67%
Cost of equity (Re)10.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.15 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)13.52%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)44.14%
Debt weight (D/V)55.86%

Results

Current Price$6.73
Implied Near-term FCF Growth27.7%
Historical Revenue Growth-11.0%
Historical Earnings Growth136.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$13.24M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$8.24
Current Price$6.73
Upside / Downside+22.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $183.40M
Current: 4.0×
Default: $381.80M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$9.22
Current Price$6.73
Upside / Downside+37.0%
Implied EV$741.30M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.62B-$618.20M$381.80M$1.38B$2.38B
0.0x$41.69$16.05$-9.59$-35.23$-60.87
2.0x$51.09$25.45$-0.19$-25.83$-51.47
4.0x$60.50$34.86$9.22$-16.42$-42.06
6.0x$69.90$44.26$18.62$-7.02$-32.66
8.0x$79.31$53.67$28.03$2.39$-23.25