REAL

REAL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.87)
DCF$5.41-54.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 28.8%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$12.10+2.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $24.89M
Rev: 18.3% / EPS: —
Computed: 14.54%
Computed WACC: 14.54%
Cost of equity (Re)19.41%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.94%
Debt weight (D/V)25.06%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1.27
Current Price$11.87
Upside / Downside-89.3%
Net Debt (used)$312.02M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term10.3%14.3%18.3%22.3%26.3%
7.0%$6.08$7.69$9.54$11.65$14.05
8.0%$4.36$5.64$7.10$8.78$10.67
9.0%$3.17$4.22$5.43$6.80$8.35
10.0%$2.31$3.19$4.20$5.36$6.66
11.0%$1.65$2.41$3.28$4.26$5.38

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.01
Yahoo: $-3.51

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$11.87
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 14.54%
Computed WACC: 14.54%
Cost of equity (Re)19.41%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.94%
Debt weight (D/V)25.06%

Results

Current Price$11.87
Implied Near-term FCF Growth44.6%
Historical Revenue Growth18.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$24.89M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$11.87
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.97M
Current: 192.2×
Default: $312.02M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$12.10
Current Price$11.87
Upside / Downside+2.0%
Implied EV$1.72B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.69B-$687.98M$312.02M$1.31B$2.31B
188.2x$28.94$20.37$11.80$3.23$-5.34
190.2x$29.09$20.52$11.95$3.38$-5.19
192.2x$29.24$20.67$12.10$3.53$-5.04
194.2x$29.40$20.83$12.26$3.69$-4.88
196.2x$29.55$20.98$12.41$3.84$-4.73