RGCO

RGCO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($22.11)
DCF$0.01-100.0%
Graham Number$17.78-19.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 27.1%
DDM$17.30-21.7%
EV/EBITDA$22.11+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.17M
Rev: 10.9% / EPS: -7.8%
Computed: 5.76%
Computed WACC: 5.76%
Cost of equity (Re)7.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.63%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.54%
Debt weight (D/V)40.46%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$15.83
Current Price$22.11
Upside / Downside-28.4%
Net Debt (used)$152.81M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.9%6.9%10.9%14.9%18.9%
7.0%$0.64$3.63$7.08$11.04$15.58
8.0%$-2.23$0.15$2.91$6.07$9.68
9.0%$-4.22$-2.24$0.03$2.64$5.62
10.0%$-5.67$-4.00$-2.07$0.13$2.65
11.0%$-6.77$-5.33$-3.67$-1.77$0.39

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.25
Yahoo: $11.24

Results

Graham Number$17.78
Current Price$22.11
Margin of Safety-19.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.76%
Computed WACC: 5.76%
Cost of equity (Re)7.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.63%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.54%
Debt weight (D/V)40.46%

Results

Current Price$22.11
Implied Near-term FCF Growth13.9%
Historical Revenue Growth10.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-7.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$6.17M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.84

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$17.30
Current Price$22.11
Upside / Downside-21.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $29.91M
Current: 12.8×
Default: $152.81M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$22.11
Current Price$22.11
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$382.64M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.85B-$847.19M$152.81M$1.15B$2.15B
8.8x$203.01$106.81$10.60$-85.60$-181.81
10.8x$208.77$112.56$16.36$-79.85$-176.05
12.8x$214.52$118.32$22.11$-74.09$-170.30
14.8x$220.27$124.07$27.86$-68.34$-164.54
16.8x$226.03$129.82$33.62$-62.59$-158.79