RGR

RGR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($37.95)
DCF$54341.99+143093.7%
Graham Number$7.56-80.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -19.8%
DDM$12.77-66.3%
EV/EBITDA$41.32+8.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $105.08M
Rev: 53.6% / EPS: 138.1%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$54265.15
Current Price$37.95
Upside / Downside+142891.2%
Net Debt (used)-$171.97M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term130.1%134.1%138.1%142.1%146.1%
7.0%$75720.05$82525.66$89812.26$97604.93$105929.58
8.0%$57853.00$63050.89$68616.07$74567.67$80925.49
9.0%$45755.98$49865.41$54265.15$58970.32$63996.57
10.0%$37100.06$40430.70$43996.57$47809.93$51883.45
11.0%$30654.07$33404.79$36349.74$39499.03$42863.12

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.14
Yahoo: $18.14

Results

Graham Number$7.56
Current Price$37.95
Margin of Safety-80.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$37.95
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-19.8%
Historical Revenue Growth53.6%
Historical Earnings Growth138.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$105.08M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.62

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$12.77
Current Price$37.95
Upside / Downside-66.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $229.29M
Current: 2.1×
Default: -$171.97M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$41.32
Current Price$37.95
Upside / Downside+8.9%
Implied EV$486.78M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.17B-$1.17B-$171.97M$828.03M$1.83B
-1.9x$109.23$46.51$-16.21$-78.93$-141.64
0.1x$137.99$75.27$12.55$-50.16$-112.88
2.1x$166.75$104.03$41.32$-21.40$-84.12
4.1x$195.51$132.80$70.08$7.36$-55.36
6.1x$224.27$161.56$98.84$36.12$-26.60