RIVN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($15.01)
DCF	$-10.56	-170.4%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$794.88M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -25.8% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 10.96%

Computed WACC: 10.96%

Cost of equity (Re)14.01%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.77 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)78.19%

Debt weight (D/V)21.81%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-7.92

Current Price$15.01

Upside / Downside-152.8%

Net Debt (used)-$887.00M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-10.66	$-12.96	$-15.64	$-18.74	$-22.30
8.0%	$-8.64	$-10.49	$-12.64	$-15.13	$-17.99
9.0%	$-7.23	$-8.78	$-10.56	$-12.63	$-15.00
10.0%	$-6.20	$-7.52	$-9.04	$-10.80	$-12.81
11.0%	$-5.41	$-6.56	$-7.88	$-9.40	$-11.15

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-3.07

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $3.68

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$15.01

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 10.96%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 10.96%

Cost of equity (Re)14.01%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.77 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)78.19%

Debt weight (D/V)21.81%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$15.01

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-25.8%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$794.88M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$15.01

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$2.80B

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -6.5×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$887.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$15.40

Current Price$15.01

Upside / Downside+2.6%

Implied EV$18.16B

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