ROK

ROK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($412.15)
DCF$4271.75+936.5%
Graham Number$80.97-80.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 22.6%
DDM$113.71-72.4%
EV/EBITDA$412.63+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.03B
Rev: 11.9% / EPS: 67.1%
Computed: 11.74%
Computed WACC: 11.74%
Cost of equity (Re)12.70%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.53 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.47%
Debt weight (D/V)7.53%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2601.18
Current Price$412.15
Upside / Downside+531.1%
Net Debt (used)$3.33B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term59.1%63.1%67.1%71.1%75.1%
7.0%$5408.53$6121.42$6907.42$7772.02$8720.98
8.0%$4184.46$4735.67$5343.34$6011.71$6745.21
9.0%$3351.42$3792.64$4278.99$4813.86$5400.80
10.0%$2751.94$3114.04$3513.13$3951.98$4433.49
11.0%$2302.76$2605.60$2939.34$3306.27$3708.83

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $8.74
Yahoo: $33.34

Results

Graham Number$80.97
Current Price$412.15
Margin of Safety-80.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.74%
Computed WACC: 11.74%
Cost of equity (Re)12.70%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.53 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.47%
Debt weight (D/V)7.53%

Results

Current Price$412.15
Implied Near-term FCF Growth30.6%
Historical Revenue Growth11.9%
Historical Earnings Growth67.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.03B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.52

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$113.71
Current Price$412.15
Upside / Downside-72.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.86B
Current: 26.7×
Default: $3.33B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$412.63
Current Price$412.15
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Implied EV$49.69B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.33B$2.33B$3.33B$4.33B$5.33B
22.7x$364.25$355.35$346.45$337.55$328.65
24.7x$397.34$388.44$379.54$370.64$361.74
26.7x$430.43$421.53$412.63$403.73$394.83
28.7x$463.52$454.62$445.72$436.82$427.92
30.7x$496.61$487.71$478.81$469.91$461.01