RPRX

RPRX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($47.47)
DCF$-54.17-214.1%
Graham Number$24.60-48.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$19.36-59.2%
EV/EBITDA$55.03+15.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$670.41M
Rev: 4.8% / EPS: 9.0%
Computed: 4.98%
Computed WACC: 4.98%
Cost of equity (Re)6.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.42 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.38%
Debt weight (D/V)24.62%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-113.81
Current Price$47.47
Upside / Downside-339.8%
Net Debt (used)$8.33B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%17.0%
7.0%$-55.25$-62.30$-70.47$-79.88$-90.67
8.0%$-48.65$-54.29$-60.83$-68.34$-76.96
9.0%$-44.08$-48.76$-54.17$-60.38$-67.50
10.0%$-40.74$-44.71$-49.30$-54.56$-60.59
11.0%$-38.19$-41.63$-45.59$-50.13$-55.32

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.78
Yahoo: $15.11

Results

Graham Number$24.60
Current Price$47.47
Margin of Safety-48.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.98%
Computed WACC: 4.98%
Cost of equity (Re)6.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.42 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.38%
Debt weight (D/V)24.62%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$47.47
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth4.8%
Historical Earnings Growth9.0%
Base FCF (TTM)-$670.41M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.94

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$19.36
Current Price$47.47
Upside / Downside-59.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.56B
Current: 20.4×
Default: $8.33B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$55.03
Current Price$47.47
Upside / Downside+15.9%
Implied EV$31.91B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$4.33B$6.33B$8.33B$10.33B$12.33B
16.4x$49.77$45.10$40.43$35.76$31.10
18.4x$57.07$52.40$47.73$43.06$38.39
20.4x$64.37$59.70$55.03$50.36$45.69
22.4x$71.66$67.00$62.33$57.66$52.99
24.4x$78.96$74.29$69.63$64.96$60.29