RTX

RTX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($202.62)
DCF$103.53-48.9%
Graham Number$73.65-63.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 22.2%
DDM$56.03-72.3%
EV/EBITDA$204.03+0.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.46B
Rev: 12.1% / EPS: 8.3%
Computed: 5.75%
Computed WACC: 5.75%
Cost of equity (Re)6.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.42 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.19%
Debt weight (D/V)12.81%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$242.40
Current Price$202.62
Upside / Downside+19.6%
Net Debt (used)$32.52B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term4.1%8.1%12.1%16.1%20.1%
7.0%$109.43$135.20$164.94$199.08$238.13
8.0%$84.19$104.76$128.47$155.67$186.74
9.0%$66.77$83.76$103.32$125.74$151.33
10.0%$54.04$68.42$84.96$103.90$125.49
11.0%$44.34$56.74$70.99$87.28$105.85

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.96
Yahoo: $48.61

Results

Graham Number$73.65
Current Price$202.62
Margin of Safety-63.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.75%
Computed WACC: 5.75%
Cost of equity (Re)6.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.42 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.19%
Debt weight (D/V)12.81%

Results

Current Price$202.62
Implied Near-term FCF Growth9.5%
Historical Revenue Growth12.1%
Historical Earnings Growth8.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$6.46B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.72

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$56.03
Current Price$202.62
Upside / Downside-72.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $14.73B
Current: 20.8×
Default: $32.52B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$204.03
Current Price$202.62
Upside / Downside+0.7%
Implied EV$306.38B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$16.52B$24.52B$32.52B$40.52B$48.52B
16.8x$172.04$166.08$160.12$154.16$148.20
18.8x$193.99$188.03$182.07$176.11$170.15
20.8x$215.95$209.99$204.03$198.07$192.11
22.8x$237.90$231.94$225.98$220.02$214.06
24.8x$259.86$253.90$247.94$241.98$236.02