RUSHA

RUSHA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($72.36)
DCF$93.21+28.8%
Graham Number$46.51-35.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 1.6%
DDM$15.45-78.6%
EV/EBITDA$92.99+28.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $389.20M
Rev: -11.8% / EPS: -11.0%
Computed: 9.76%
Computed WACC: 9.76%
Cost of equity (Re)9.40%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.93 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)14.09%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.60%
Debt weight (D/V)20.40%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$81.17
Current Price$72.36
Upside / Downside+12.2%
Net Debt (used)$1.23B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$94.18$117.37$144.34$175.55$211.50
8.0%$73.78$92.44$114.12$139.17$167.99
9.0%$59.65$75.18$93.21$114.01$137.91
10.0%$49.27$62.53$77.88$95.57$115.88
11.0%$41.33$52.84$66.16$81.49$99.07

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.34
Yahoo: $28.78

Results

Graham Number$46.51
Current Price$72.36
Margin of Safety-35.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.76%
Computed WACC: 9.76%
Cost of equity (Re)9.40%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.93 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)14.09%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.60%
Debt weight (D/V)20.40%

Results

Current Price$72.36
Implied Near-term FCF Growth3.4%
Historical Revenue Growth-11.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-11.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$389.20M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.75

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.45
Current Price$72.36
Upside / Downside-78.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $646.19M
Current: 10.6×
Default: $1.23B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$92.99
Current Price$72.36
Upside / Downside+28.5%
Implied EV$6.82B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.23B$1.23B$1.23B$1.23B$1.23B
6.6x$49.99$49.99$49.99$49.99$49.99
8.6x$71.49$71.49$71.49$71.49$71.49
10.6x$92.99$92.99$92.99$92.99$92.99
12.6x$114.49$114.49$114.49$114.49$114.49
14.6x$135.98$135.98$135.98$135.98$135.98