RXO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($16.26)
DCF	$0.59	-96.3%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 31.2%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$15.96	-1.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $42.75M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -11.9% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 10.51%

Computed WACC: 10.51%

Cost of equity (Re)13.15%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.61 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)79.94%

Debt weight (D/V)20.06%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-0.28

Current Price$16.26

Upside / Downside-101.7%

Net Debt (used)$653.00M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$0.63	$1.57	$2.65	$3.91	$5.35
8.0%	$-0.19	$0.56	$1.43	$2.44	$3.60
9.0%	$-0.76	$-0.13	$0.59	$1.43	$2.39
10.0%	$-1.17	$-0.64	$-0.02	$0.69	$1.51
11.0%	$-1.49	$-1.03	$-0.49	$0.12	$0.83

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.59

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $9.39

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$16.26

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 10.51%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 10.51%

Cost of equity (Re)13.15%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.61 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)79.94%

Debt weight (D/V)20.06%

Results

Current Price$16.26

Implied Near-term FCF Growth36.1%

Historical Revenue Growth-11.9%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$42.75M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$16.26

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $109.00M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 30.0×

Net Debt($B)Default: $653.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$15.96

Current Price$16.26

Upside / Downside-1.8%

Implied EV$3.27B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.35B	-$347.00M	$653.00M	$1.65B	$2.65B
26.0x	$25.49	$19.39	$13.30	$7.21	$1.12
28.0x	$26.81	$20.72	$14.63	$8.54	$2.45
30.0x	$28.14	$22.05	$15.96	$9.87	$3.78
32.0x	$29.47	$23.38	$17.29	$11.20	$5.11
34.0x	$30.80	$24.71	$18.62	$12.52	$6.43

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