RYAAY

RYAAY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($62.81)
DCF$67.55+7.5%
Graham Number$33.26-47.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.3%
DDM$20.39-67.5%
EV/EBITDA$130.97+108.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.59B
Rev: 8.6% / EPS: -79.0%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$67.55
Current Price$62.81
Upside / Downside+7.5%
Net Debt (used)-$934.10M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term0.6%4.6%8.6%12.6%16.6%
7.0%$69.46$82.82$98.31$116.16$136.64
8.0%$57.02$67.73$80.12$94.39$110.74
9.0%$48.41$57.29$67.55$79.35$92.87
10.0%$42.11$49.66$58.36$68.37$79.81
11.0%$37.30$43.83$51.36$59.99$69.86

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.00
Yahoo: $9.83

Results

Graham Number$33.26
Current Price$62.81
Margin of Safety-47.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$62.81
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.3%
Historical Revenue Growth8.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-79.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.59B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.99

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.39
Current Price$62.81
Upside / Downside-67.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.72B
Current: 18.2×
Default: -$934.10M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$130.97
Current Price$62.81
Upside / Downside+108.5%
Implied EV$67.63B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.93B-$1.93B-$934.10M$65.90M$1.07B
14.2x$106.37$104.46$102.55$100.64$98.73
16.2x$120.58$118.67$116.76$114.85$112.94
18.2x$134.79$132.88$130.97$129.06$127.15
20.2x$149.01$147.09$145.18$143.27$141.36
22.2x$163.22$161.31$159.40$157.49$155.58