RYAN

RYAN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($40.21)
DCF$87.06+116.5%
Graham Number$7.27-81.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 4.4%
DDM$10.71-73.4%
EV/EBITDA$44.88+11.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $506.21M
Rev: 13.6% / EPS: —
Computed: 5.91%
Computed WACC: 5.91%
Cost of equity (Re)7.88%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.65 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.10%
Debt weight (D/V)24.90%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$200.32
Current Price$40.21
Upside / Downside+398.2%
Net Debt (used)$3.37B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term5.6%9.6%13.6%17.6%21.6%
7.0%$93.40$116.19$142.43$172.52$206.88
8.0%$70.60$88.76$109.65$133.58$160.88
9.0%$54.88$69.85$87.06$106.76$129.21
10.0%$43.40$56.05$70.58$87.20$106.12
11.0%$34.66$45.55$58.05$72.33$88.58

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.47
Yahoo: $5.00

Results

Graham Number$7.27
Current Price$40.21
Margin of Safety-81.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.91%
Computed WACC: 5.91%
Cost of equity (Re)7.88%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.65 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.10%
Debt weight (D/V)24.90%

Results

Current Price$40.21
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-5.4%
Historical Revenue Growth13.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$506.21M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.52

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$10.71
Current Price$40.21
Upside / Downside-73.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $860.53M
Current: 10.7×
Default: $3.37B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$44.88
Current Price$40.21
Upside / Downside+11.6%
Implied EV$9.19B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.37B$2.37B$3.37B$4.37B$5.37B
6.7x$33.76$26.05$18.34$10.63$2.92
8.7x$47.04$39.32$31.61$23.90$16.19
10.7x$60.31$52.60$44.88$37.17$29.46
12.7x$73.58$65.87$58.16$50.45$42.73
14.7x$86.85$79.14$71.43$63.72$56.01