RYZ

RYZ — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($27.54)
DCF$14.14-48.6%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 16.1%
DDM$15.45-43.9%
EV/EBITDA$27.74+0.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $66.36M
Rev: 9.7% / EPS: —
Computed: 9.58%
Computed WACC: 9.58%
Cost of equity (Re)13.02%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.59 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.67%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.12%
Debt weight (D/V)36.88%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$11.60
Current Price$27.54
Upside / Downside-57.9%
Net Debt (used)$805.40M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.7%5.7%9.7%13.7%17.7%
7.0%$15.24$21.30$28.31$36.37$45.62
8.0%$9.51$14.36$19.96$26.40$33.77
9.0%$5.55$9.56$14.19$19.51$25.60
10.0%$2.65$6.06$9.98$14.48$19.63
11.0%$0.44$3.38$6.77$10.65$15.09

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.76
Yahoo: $23.38

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$27.54
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.58%
Computed WACC: 9.58%
Cost of equity (Re)13.02%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.59 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.67%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.12%
Debt weight (D/V)36.88%

Results

Current Price$27.54
Implied Near-term FCF Growth17.8%
Historical Revenue Growth9.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$66.36M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.75

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.45
Current Price$27.54
Upside / Downside-43.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $54.70M
Current: 40.8×
Default: $805.40M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$27.74
Current Price$27.54
Upside / Downside+0.7%
Implied EV$2.23B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.19B-$194.60M$805.40M$1.81B$2.81B
36.8x$62.34$42.92$23.49$4.07$-15.35
38.8x$64.47$45.04$25.62$6.19$-13.23
40.8x$66.59$47.17$27.74$8.32$-11.10
42.8x$68.72$49.29$29.87$10.44$-8.98
44.8x$70.84$51.42$31.99$12.57$-6.85