SAFT

SAFT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($77.09)
DCF$193610.18+251048.2%
Graham Number$95.88+24.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -14.9%
DDM$75.81-1.7%
EV/EBITDA$77.09+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $204.97M
Rev: 11.4% / EPS: 153.2%
Computed: 5.09%
Computed WACC: 5.09%
Cost of equity (Re)5.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.19 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.89%
Debt weight (D/V)5.11%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$639993.50
Current Price$77.09
Upside / Downside+830090.0%
Net Debt (used)-$12.04M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term145.2%149.2%153.2%157.2%161.2%
7.0%$273776.53$296829.39$321409.97$347592.99$375455.57
8.0%$208856.76$226439.26$245186.77$265156.28$286406.57
9.0%$164928.40$178809.49$193610.18$209375.45$226151.70
10.0%$133516.38$144750.80$156729.36$169488.43$183065.56
11.0%$110140.68$119405.65$129284.18$139806.28$151002.88

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.70
Yahoo: $60.98

Results

Graham Number$95.88
Current Price$77.09
Margin of Safety+24.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.09%
Computed WACC: 5.09%
Cost of equity (Re)5.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.19 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.89%
Debt weight (D/V)5.11%

Results

Current Price$77.09
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth11.4%
Historical Earnings Growth153.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$204.97M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.68

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$75.81
Current Price$77.09
Upside / Downside-1.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $134.99M
Current: 8.3×
Default: -$12.04M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$77.09
Current Price$77.09
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$1.12B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.01B-$1.01B-$12.04M$987.96M$1.99B
4.3x$176.88$108.53$40.19$-28.16$-96.50
6.3x$195.33$126.99$58.64$-9.70$-78.05
8.3x$213.78$145.44$77.09$8.75$-59.60
10.3x$232.23$163.89$95.54$27.20$-41.14
12.3x$250.69$182.34$114.00$45.65$-22.69