SAH

SAH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($61.47)
DCF$78.64+27.9%
Graham Number$49.48-19.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 3.8%
DDM$31.31-49.1%
EV/EBITDA$95.80+55.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $319.89M
Rev: -0.6% / EPS: -18.5%
Computed: 3.11%
Computed WACC: 3.11%
Cost of equity (Re)9.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)33.19%
Debt weight (D/V)66.81%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2628.26
Current Price$61.47
Upside / Downside+4175.7%
Net Debt (used)$3.92B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$80.87$134.04$195.88$267.46$349.91
8.0%$34.10$76.89$126.59$184.04$250.13
9.0%$1.68$37.31$78.64$126.34$181.15
10.0%$-22.11$8.28$43.48$84.06$130.64
11.0%$-40.33$-13.92$16.62$51.78$92.08

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.42
Yahoo: $31.81

Results

Graham Number$49.48
Current Price$61.47
Margin of Safety-19.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.11%
Computed WACC: 3.11%
Cost of equity (Re)9.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)33.19%
Debt weight (D/V)66.81%

Results

Current Price$61.47
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-0.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-18.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$319.89M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.52

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$31.31
Current Price$61.47
Upside / Downside-49.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $653.20M
Current: 9.2×
Default: $3.92B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$95.80
Current Price$61.47
Upside / Downside+55.9%
Implied EV$5.99B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.92B$2.92B$3.92B$4.92B$5.92B
5.2x$67.36$20.95$-25.46$-71.87$-118.28
7.2x$127.99$81.58$35.17$-11.24$-57.65
9.2x$188.63$142.21$95.80$49.39$2.98
11.2x$249.26$202.85$156.43$110.02$63.61
13.2x$309.89$263.48$217.07$170.66$124.24