SAIC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($92.49)
DCF	$34.52	-62.7%
Graham Number	$76.89	-16.9%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 13.4%
DDM	$30.49	-67.0%
EV/EBITDA	$92.49	-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $236.88M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -5.6% / EPS: -20.7%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 3.74%

Computed WACC: 3.74%

Cost of equity (Re)6.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.32 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)61.67%

Debt weight (D/V)38.33%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$430.47

Current Price$92.49

Upside / Downside+365.4%

Net Debt (used)$2.60B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$35.31	$54.10	$75.97	$101.28	$130.43
8.0%	$18.77	$33.90	$51.47	$71.78	$95.15
9.0%	$7.31	$19.91	$34.52	$51.38	$70.76
10.0%	$-1.10	$9.64	$22.09	$36.44	$52.90
11.0%	$-7.55	$1.79	$12.59	$25.02	$39.27

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $7.82

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $33.60

Results

Graham Number$76.89

Current Price$92.49

Margin of Safety-16.9%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 3.74%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 3.74%

Cost of equity (Re)6.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.32 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)61.67%

Debt weight (D/V)38.33%

Results

Current Price$92.49

Implied Near-term FCF Growth-11.2%

Historical Revenue Growth-5.6%

Historical Earnings Growth-20.7%

Base FCF (TTM)$236.88M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $1.48

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$30.49

Current Price$92.49

Upside / Downside-67.0%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $655.00M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 10.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: $2.60B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$92.49

Current Price$92.49

Upside / Downside-0.0%

Implied EV$6.77B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$601.00M	$1.60B	$2.60B	$3.60B	$4.60B
6.3x	$78.75	$56.59	$34.43	$12.27	$-9.89
8.3x	$107.78	$85.62	$63.46	$41.30	$19.14
10.3x	$136.81	$114.65	$92.49	$70.33	$48.17
12.3x	$165.83	$143.67	$121.52	$99.36	$77.20
14.3x	$194.86	$172.70	$150.54	$128.38	$106.23

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