SAR

SAR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($23.73)
DCF$-20.22-185.2%
Graham Number$37.33+57.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 35.2%
DDM$61.80+160.4%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $11.39M
Rev: -11.8% / EPS: 16.3%
Computed: 9.45%
Computed WACC: 9.45%
Cost of equity (Re)7.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.61 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)13.10%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)33.43%
Debt weight (D/V)66.57%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-21.90
Current Price$23.73
Upside / Downside-192.3%
Net Debt (used)$712.39M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term8.3%12.3%16.3%20.3%24.3%
7.0%$-18.50$-13.72$-8.24$-1.96$5.18
8.0%$-23.46$-19.66$-15.31$-10.33$-4.67
9.0%$-26.88$-23.75$-20.17$-16.09$-11.44
10.0%$-29.37$-26.74$-23.72$-20.28$-16.38
11.0%$-31.26$-29.00$-26.41$-23.47$-20.12

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.42
Yahoo: $25.59

Results

Graham Number$37.33
Current Price$23.73
Margin of Safety+57.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.45%
Computed WACC: 9.45%
Cost of equity (Re)7.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.61 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)13.10%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)33.43%
Debt weight (D/V)66.57%

Results

Current Price$23.73
Implied Near-term FCF Growth36.8%
Historical Revenue Growth-11.8%
Historical Earnings Growth16.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$11.39M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$61.80
Current Price$23.73
Upside / Downside+160.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $712.39M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-44.02
Current Price$23.73
Upside / Downside-285.5%
Implied EV$0