SCD

SCD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($15.93)
DCF$8.42-47.2%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 42.7%
DDM$29.66+86.2%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.12M
Rev: 33.4% / EPS: -55.4%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$8.42
Current Price$15.93
Upside / Downside-47.2%
Net Debt (used)$80.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term25.4%29.4%33.4%37.4%41.4%
7.0%$10.19$12.45$15.01$17.88$21.11
8.0%$7.32$9.09$11.10$13.35$15.87
9.0%$5.35$6.79$8.42$10.24$12.29
10.0%$3.93$5.13$6.48$8.00$9.70
11.0%$2.85$3.87$5.01$6.30$7.75

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.21
Yahoo: $16.51

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$15.93
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$15.93
Implied Near-term FCF Growth42.7%
Historical Revenue Growth33.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-55.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$3.12M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.44

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$29.66
Current Price$15.93
Upside / Downside+86.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $80.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-3.49
Current Price$15.93
Upside / Downside-121.9%
Implied EV$0