SCM

SCM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.13)
DCF$-3.56-135.2%
Graham Number$17.89+76.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.7%
DDM$31.72+213.2%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $29.63M
Rev: -0.8% / EPS: -60.0%
Computed: 2.47%
Computed WACC: 2.47%
Cost of equity (Re)7.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)31.68%
Debt weight (D/V)68.32%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$10.13
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$623.30M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-3.41$0.26$4.52$9.45$15.14
8.0%$-6.63$-3.68$-0.26$3.70$8.26
9.0%$-8.87$-6.41$-3.56$-0.27$3.50
10.0%$-10.51$-8.41$-5.99$-3.19$0.02
11.0%$-11.76$-9.94$-7.84$-5.42$-2.64

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.09
Yahoo: $13.05

Results

Graham Number$17.89
Current Price$10.13
Margin of Safety+76.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.47%
Computed WACC: 2.47%
Cost of equity (Re)7.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)31.68%
Debt weight (D/V)68.32%

Results

Current Price$10.13
Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-0.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-60.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$29.63M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.54

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$31.72
Current Price$10.13
Upside / Downside+213.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $623.30M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-21.53
Current Price$10.13
Upside / Downside-312.6%
Implied EV$0