SD

SD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($17.59)
DCF$39.39+123.9%
Graham Number$23.24+32.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 16.3%
DDM$9.89-43.8%
EV/EBITDA$17.51-0.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $16.20M
Rev: 32.5% / EPS: -37.3%
Computed: 7.17%
Computed WACC: 7.17%
Cost of equity (Re)7.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.80%
Debt weight (D/V)0.20%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$57.29
Current Price$17.59
Upside / Downside+225.6%
Net Debt (used)-$99.88M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term24.5%28.5%32.5%36.5%40.5%
7.0%$44.80$51.80$59.71$68.62$78.62
8.0%$35.99$41.48$47.68$54.67$62.51
9.0%$29.95$34.42$39.45$45.12$51.49
10.0%$25.58$29.30$33.49$38.21$43.50
11.0%$22.28$25.43$28.99$32.99$37.48

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.79
Yahoo: $13.41

Results

Graham Number$23.24
Current Price$17.59
Margin of Safety+32.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.17%
Computed WACC: 7.17%
Cost of equity (Re)7.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.80%
Debt weight (D/V)0.20%

Results

Current Price$17.59
Implied Near-term FCF Growth10.2%
Historical Revenue Growth32.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-37.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$16.20M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$9.89
Current Price$17.59
Upside / Downside-43.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $100.57M
Current: 5.4×
Default: -$99.88M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$17.51
Current Price$17.59
Upside / Downside-0.5%
Implied EV$543.88M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.10B-$1.10B-$99.88M$900.13M$1.90B
1.4x$60.95$33.76$6.57$-20.63$-47.82
3.4x$66.42$39.23$12.04$-15.16$-42.35
5.4x$71.89$44.70$17.51$-9.69$-36.88
7.4x$77.36$50.17$22.98$-4.22$-31.41
9.4x$82.83$55.64$28.44$1.25$-25.94