SELF

SELF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($5.14)
DCF$5.00-2.6%
Graham Number$3.86-24.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 5.4%
DDM$5.97+16.2%
EV/EBITDA$5.10-0.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.72M
Rev: 0.8% / EPS: -60.0%
Computed: 4.36%
Computed WACC: 4.36%
Cost of equity (Re)4.37%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.51%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.47%
Debt weight (D/V)21.53%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$19.55
Current Price$5.14
Upside / Downside+280.3%
Net Debt (used)$8.53M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$5.05$6.23$7.59$9.18$11.00
8.0%$4.02$4.97$6.06$7.33$8.79
9.0%$3.30$4.09$5.00$6.06$7.27
10.0%$2.78$3.45$4.23$5.12$6.15
11.0%$2.38$2.96$3.63$4.41$5.30

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.16
Yahoo: $4.14

Results

Graham Number$3.86
Current Price$5.14
Margin of Safety-24.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.36%
Computed WACC: 4.36%
Cost of equity (Re)4.37%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.51%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.47%
Debt weight (D/V)21.53%

Results

Current Price$5.14
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-12.5%
Historical Revenue Growth0.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-60.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$3.72M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.29

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$5.97
Current Price$5.14
Upside / Downside+16.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.72M
Current: 14.0×
Default: $8.53M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.10
Current Price$5.14
Upside / Downside-0.8%
Implied EV$66.35M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.99B-$991.47M$8.53M$1.01B$2.01B
10.0x$179.84$91.63$3.43$-84.77$-172.97
12.0x$180.67$92.47$4.27$-83.93$-172.14
14.0x$181.50$93.30$5.10$-83.10$-171.30
16.0x$182.34$94.13$5.93$-82.27$-170.47
18.0x$183.17$94.97$6.77$-81.43$-169.64