SFM

SFM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($73.99)
DCF$198.30+168.0%
Graham Number$41.80-43.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 3.6%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$73.99-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $536.19M
Rev: 7.6% / EPS: 18.4%
Computed: 6.42%
Computed WACC: 6.42%
Cost of equity (Re)8.15%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.70 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.76%
Debt weight (D/V)21.24%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$361.39
Current Price$73.99
Upside / Downside+388.4%
Net Debt (used)$1.69B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term10.4%14.4%18.4%22.4%26.4%
7.0%$215.76$258.82$308.17$364.47$428.46
8.0%$169.81$203.96$243.07$287.66$338.30
9.0%$138.18$166.22$198.30$234.85$276.33
10.0%$115.15$138.74$165.72$196.42$231.25
11.0%$97.66$117.89$140.99$167.28$197.07

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.31
Yahoo: $14.63

Results

Graham Number$41.80
Current Price$73.99
Margin of Safety-43.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.42%
Computed WACC: 6.42%
Cost of equity (Re)8.15%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.70 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.76%
Debt weight (D/V)21.24%

Results

Current Price$73.99
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-4.2%
Historical Revenue Growth7.6%
Historical Earnings Growth18.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$536.19M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$73.99
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $843.88M
Current: 10.3×
Default: $1.69B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$73.99
Current Price$73.99
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$8.68B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.69B$1.69B$1.69B$1.69B$1.69B
6.3x$38.30$38.30$38.30$38.30$38.30
8.3x$56.14$56.14$56.14$56.14$56.14
10.3x$73.99$73.99$73.99$73.99$73.99
12.3x$91.83$91.83$91.83$91.83$91.83
14.3x$109.68$109.68$109.68$109.68$109.68