SGA

SGA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.63)
DCF$1.39-88.1%
Graham Number$5.32-54.3%
Reverse DCF
DDM$20.60+77.1%
EV/EBITDA$11.75+1.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$405,750
Rev: -1.8% / EPS: —
Computed: 5.37%
Computed WACC: 5.37%
Cost of equity (Re)4.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.05 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)13.92%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.92%
Debt weight (D/V)12.08%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-0.04
Current Price$11.63
Upside / Downside-100.4%
Net Debt (used)-$15.98M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$1.38$1.15$0.89$0.58$0.23
8.0%$1.58$1.40$1.18$0.94$0.65
9.0%$1.72$1.57$1.39$1.19$0.95
10.0%$1.82$1.69$1.54$1.37$1.17
11.0%$1.90$1.79$1.66$1.50$1.33

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.05
Yahoo: $25.16

Results

Graham Number$5.32
Current Price$11.63
Margin of Safety-54.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.37%
Computed WACC: 5.37%
Cost of equity (Re)4.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.05 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)13.92%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.92%
Debt weight (D/V)12.08%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$11.63
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-1.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$405,750
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.60
Current Price$11.63
Upside / Downside+77.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.13M
Current: 11.5×
Default: -$15.98M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$11.75
Current Price$11.63
Upside / Downside+1.1%
Implied EV$58.92M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.02B-$1.02B-$15.98M$984.02M$1.98B
7.5x$322.39$165.46$8.54$-148.39$-305.32
9.5x$324.00$167.07$10.14$-146.78$-303.71
11.5x$325.61$168.68$11.75$-145.17$-302.10
13.5x$327.21$170.29$13.36$-143.56$-300.49
15.5x$328.82$171.90$14.97$-141.96$-298.88