SGBAF

SGBAF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($7.80)
DCF$725.70+9203.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 3.4%
DDM$11.95+53.2%
EV/EBITDA$24.35+212.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $536.62M
Rev: 67.3% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$726.96
Current Price$7.80
Upside / Downside+9219.9%
Net Debt (used)$5.90B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term59.3%63.3%67.3%71.3%75.3%
7.0%$922.43$1045.45$1181.07$1330.23$1493.93
8.0%$710.89$806.00$910.84$1026.14$1152.67
9.0%$566.92$643.05$726.96$819.22$920.46
10.0%$463.32$525.80$594.64$670.34$753.39
11.0%$385.70$437.95$495.52$558.81$628.23

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.35
Yahoo: $6.47

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$7.80
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$7.80
Implied Near-term FCF Growth3.4%
Historical Revenue Growth67.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$536.62M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.58

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.95
Current Price$7.80
Upside / Downside+53.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.19B
Current: —×
Default: $5.90B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$24.35
Current Price$7.80
Upside / Downside+212.2%
Implied EV$14.27B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.90B$4.90B$5.90B$6.90B$7.90B
8.0x$16.33$13.42$10.51$7.60$4.69
10.0x$23.25$20.34$17.43$14.52$11.61
12.0x$30.17$27.26$24.35$21.44$18.53
14.0x$37.09$34.18$31.27$28.36$25.45
16.0x$44.02$41.11$38.19$35.28$32.37