SGC

SGC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($9.96)
DCF$-3.56-135.7%
Graham Number$9.92-0.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 38.5%
DDM$11.54+15.8%
EV/EBITDA$9.96+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.22M
Rev: -7.5% / EPS: -45.5%
Computed: 9.49%
Computed WACC: 9.49%
Cost of equity (Re)12.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.02%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)58.58%
Debt weight (D/V)41.42%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-3.73
Current Price$9.96
Upside / Downside-137.4%
Net Debt (used)$95.80M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-3.53$-3.04$-2.46$-1.79$-1.01
8.0%$-3.97$-3.57$-3.11$-2.57$-1.95
9.0%$-4.28$-3.94$-3.56$-3.11$-2.59
10.0%$-4.50$-4.22$-3.89$-3.50$-3.07
11.0%$-4.67$-4.42$-4.14$-3.81$-3.43

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.36
Yahoo: $12.14

Results

Graham Number$9.92
Current Price$9.96
Margin of Safety-0.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.49%
Computed WACC: 9.49%
Cost of equity (Re)12.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.02%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)58.58%
Debt weight (D/V)41.42%

Results

Current Price$9.96
Implied Near-term FCF Growth40.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-7.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-45.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$2.22M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.54
Current Price$9.96
Upside / Downside+15.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $24.84M
Current: 10.3×
Default: $95.80M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$9.96
Current Price$9.96
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$254.85M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.90B-$904.20M$95.80M$1.10B$2.10B
6.3x$128.98$66.36$3.74$-58.88$-121.51
8.3x$132.09$69.47$6.85$-55.77$-118.39
10.3x$135.20$72.58$9.96$-52.66$-115.28
12.3x$138.32$75.69$13.07$-49.55$-112.17
14.3x$141.43$78.80$16.18$-46.44$-109.06