SGHC

SGHC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.97)
DCF$0.80-92.7%
Graham Number$3.73-66.0%
Reverse DCF
DDM$3.50-68.1%
EV/EBITDA$11.02+0.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 17.8% / EPS: 869.3%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$0.80
Current Price$10.97
Upside / Downside-92.7%
Net Debt (used)-$406.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term861.3%865.3%869.3%873.3%877.3%
7.0%$0.80$0.80$0.80$0.80$0.80
8.0%$0.80$0.80$0.80$0.80$0.80
9.0%$0.80$0.80$0.80$0.80$0.80
10.0%$0.80$0.80$0.80$0.80$0.80
11.0%$0.80$0.80$0.80$0.80$0.80

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.42
Yahoo: $1.47

Results

Graham Number$3.73
Current Price$10.97
Margin of Safety-66.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$10.97
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth17.8%
Historical Earnings Growth869.3%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.17

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$3.50
Current Price$10.97
Upside / Downside-68.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $490.74M
Current: 10.5×
Default: -$406.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$11.02
Current Price$10.97
Upside / Downside+0.4%
Implied EV$5.17B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.41B-$1.41B-$406.00M$594.00M$1.59B
6.5x$11.09$9.11$7.14$5.16$3.18
8.5x$13.03$11.05$9.08$7.10$5.12
10.5x$14.97$13.00$11.02$9.04$7.06
12.5x$16.91$14.94$12.96$10.98$9.00
14.5x$18.86$16.88$14.90$12.92$10.94