SGI

SGI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($87.42)
DCF$942.24+977.8%
Graham Number$24.76-71.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 21.7%
DDM$14.01-84.0%
EV/EBITDA$87.65+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $540.49M
Rev: 54.7% / EPS: 62.4%
Computed: 8.27%
Computed WACC: 8.27%
Cost of equity (Re)11.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.27 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)73.33%
Debt weight (D/V)26.67%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1107.65
Current Price$87.42
Upside / Downside+1167.0%
Net Debt (used)$6.54B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term54.4%58.4%62.4%66.4%70.4%
7.0%$1184.70$1348.95$1530.56$1730.86$1951.28
8.0%$912.76$1039.95$1180.56$1335.62$1506.24
9.0%$727.58$829.54$942.24$1066.51$1203.23
10.0%$594.23$678.03$770.65$872.76$985.07
11.0%$494.24$564.43$641.99$727.49$821.53

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.84
Yahoo: $14.81

Results

Graham Number$24.76
Current Price$87.42
Margin of Safety-71.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.27%
Computed WACC: 8.27%
Cost of equity (Re)11.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.27 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)73.33%
Debt weight (D/V)26.67%

Results

Current Price$87.42
Implied Near-term FCF Growth19.3%
Historical Revenue Growth54.7%
Historical Earnings Growth62.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$540.49M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.68

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$14.01
Current Price$87.42
Upside / Downside-84.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.05B
Current: 23.8×
Default: $6.54B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$87.65
Current Price$87.42
Upside / Downside+0.3%
Implied EV$24.94B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.54B$4.54B$6.54B$8.54B$10.54B
19.8x$86.71$77.19$67.66$58.13$48.60
21.8x$96.71$87.18$77.65$68.12$58.60
23.8x$106.70$97.17$87.65$78.12$68.59
25.8x$116.70$107.17$97.64$88.11$78.58
27.8x$126.69$117.16$107.63$98.11$88.58