SHG

SHG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($61.08)
DCF$-94284.17-154461.8%
Graham Number$109.49+79.3%
Reverse DCF
DDM$32.75-46.4%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 21.6% / EPS: 35.0%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-94284.17
Current Price$61.08
Upside / Downside-154461.8%
Net Debt (used)$44.75T
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term27.0%31.0%35.0%39.0%43.0%
7.0%$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17
8.0%$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17
9.0%$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17
10.0%$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17
11.0%$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17$-94284.17

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.10
Yahoo: $75.05

Results

Graham Number$109.49
Current Price$61.08
Margin of Safety+79.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$61.08
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth21.6%
Historical Earnings Growth35.0%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.59

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$32.75
Current Price$61.08
Upside / Downside-46.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $44.75T

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-94284.17
Current Price$61.08
Upside / Downside-154461.8%
Implied EV$0