SHOO

SHOO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($35.62)
DCF$17.21-51.7%
Graham Number$14.64-58.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 40.7%
DDM$17.30-51.4%
EV/EBITDA$35.30-0.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $23.09M
Rev: 29.4% / EPS: -33.2%
Computed: 8.76%
Computed WACC: 8.76%
Cost of equity (Re)10.41%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.11 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.19%
Debt weight (D/V)15.81%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$18.25
Current Price$35.62
Upside / Downside-48.8%
Net Debt (used)$373.71M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term21.4%25.4%29.4%33.4%37.4%
7.0%$20.17$24.48$29.36$34.87$41.07
8.0%$14.93$18.32$22.15$26.48$31.35
9.0%$11.34$14.09$17.21$20.74$24.70
10.0%$8.73$11.03$13.64$16.57$19.87
11.0%$6.76$8.72$10.93$13.43$16.23

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.78
Yahoo: $12.21

Results

Graham Number$14.64
Current Price$35.62
Margin of Safety-58.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.76%
Computed WACC: 8.76%
Cost of equity (Re)10.41%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.11 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.19%
Debt weight (D/V)15.81%

Results

Current Price$35.62
Implied Near-term FCF Growth39.8%
Historical Revenue Growth29.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-33.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$23.09M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.84

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$17.30
Current Price$35.62
Upside / Downside-51.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $209.23M
Current: 14.0×
Default: $373.71M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$35.30
Current Price$35.62
Upside / Downside-0.9%
Implied EV$2.94B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.63B-$626.29M$373.71M$1.37B$2.37B
10.0x$51.30$37.54$23.78$10.01$-3.75
12.0x$57.06$43.30$29.54$15.77$2.01
14.0x$62.82$49.06$35.30$21.53$7.77
16.0x$68.58$54.82$41.05$27.29$13.53
18.0x$74.34$60.58$46.81$33.05$19.29