SID

SID — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1.68)
DCF$-74.85-4555.2%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$4.74+182.0%
EV/EBITDA$4.10+144.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$3.26B
Rev: 6.6% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-74.85
Current Price$1.68
Upside / Downside-4555.2%
Net Debt (used)$36.36B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-1.4%2.6%6.6%10.6%14.6%
7.0%$-75.69$-85.35$-96.57$-109.53$-124.43
8.0%$-66.97$-74.73$-83.73$-94.11$-106.03
9.0%$-60.93$-67.38$-74.85$-83.45$-93.33
10.0%$-56.51$-62.00$-68.35$-75.65$-84.03
11.0%$-53.12$-57.88$-63.38$-69.70$-76.94

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.23
Yahoo: $2.07

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$1.68
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$1.68
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth6.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$3.26B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.23

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.74
Current Price$1.68
Upside / Downside+182.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.51B
Current: 4.9×
Default: $36.36B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4.10
Current Price$1.68
Upside / Downside+144.2%
Implied EV$41.80B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$18.36B$27.36B$36.36B$45.36B$54.36B
0.9x$-7.98$-14.77$-21.55$-28.34$-35.13
2.9x$4.85$-1.94$-8.73$-15.51$-22.30
4.9x$17.68$10.89$4.10$-2.68$-9.47
6.9x$30.50$23.72$16.93$10.14$3.36
8.9x$43.33$36.54$29.76$22.97$16.18