SKYW

SKYW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($101.71)
DCF$68.00-33.1%
Graham Number$125.18+23.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 13.0%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$101.72+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $209.52M
Rev: 8.5% / EPS: -5.1%
Computed: 8.18%
Computed WACC: 8.18%
Cost of equity (Re)13.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)62.42%
Debt weight (D/V)37.58%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$85.15
Current Price$101.71
Upside / Downside-16.3%
Net Debt (used)$1.77B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term0.5%4.5%8.5%12.5%16.5%
7.0%$71.38$94.13$120.50$150.90$185.78
8.0%$50.22$68.46$89.56$113.85$141.71
9.0%$35.60$50.72$68.19$88.28$111.30
10.0%$24.89$37.73$52.55$69.59$89.07
11.0%$16.71$27.82$40.63$55.34$72.14

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $10.11
Yahoo: $68.88

Results

Graham Number$125.18
Current Price$101.71
Margin of Safety+23.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.18%
Computed WACC: 8.18%
Cost of equity (Re)13.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)62.42%
Debt weight (D/V)37.58%

Results

Current Price$101.71
Implied Near-term FCF Growth10.6%
Historical Revenue Growth8.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-5.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$209.52M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$101.71
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $982.34M
Current: 6.0×
Default: $1.77B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$101.72
Current Price$101.71
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$5.88B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.77B$1.77B$1.77B$1.77B$1.77B
2.0x$4.48$4.48$4.48$4.48$4.48
4.0x$53.10$53.10$53.10$53.10$53.10
6.0x$101.72$101.72$101.72$101.72$101.72
8.0x$150.34$150.34$150.34$150.34$150.34
10.0x$198.97$198.97$198.97$198.97$198.97