SM

SM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($24.19)
DCF$4.81-80.1%
Graham Number$77.31+219.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 19.2%
DDM$16.89-30.2%
EV/EBITDA$24.20+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $206.88M
Rev: -17.1% / EPS: -42.3%
Computed: 8.10%
Computed WACC: 8.10%
Cost of equity (Re)9.74%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.99 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.06%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.89%
Debt weight (D/V)33.11%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$7.29
Current Price$24.19
Upside / Downside-69.9%
Net Debt (used)$2.48B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$4.94$8.05$11.67$15.86$20.68
8.0%$2.21$4.71$7.62$10.98$14.84
9.0%$0.31$2.40$4.81$7.60$10.81
10.0%$-1.08$0.70$2.76$5.13$7.86
11.0%$-2.14$-0.60$1.19$3.24$5.60

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.33
Yahoo: $41.96

Results

Graham Number$77.31
Current Price$24.19
Margin of Safety+219.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.10%
Computed WACC: 8.10%
Cost of equity (Re)9.74%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.99 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.06%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.89%
Debt weight (D/V)33.11%

Results

Current Price$24.19
Implied Near-term FCF Growth16.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-17.1%
Historical Earnings Growth-42.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$206.88M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.82

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$16.89
Current Price$24.19
Upside / Downside-30.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.21B
Current: 3.7×
Default: $2.48B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$24.20
Current Price$24.19
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Implied EV$8.25B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$485.00M$1.48B$2.48B$3.48B$4.48B
-0.3x$-4.45$-8.65$-12.85$-17.04$-21.24
1.7x$14.07$9.88$5.68$1.48$-2.72
3.7x$32.60$28.40$24.20$20.01$15.81
5.7x$51.13$46.93$42.73$38.53$34.34
7.7x$69.65$65.45$61.26$57.06$52.86