SMBC

SMBC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($63.12)
DCF$-1.60-102.5%
Graham Number$81.37+28.9%
Reverse DCF
DDM$20.19-68.0%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 8.8% / EPS: 24.7%
Computed: 7.85%
Computed WACC: 7.85%
Cost of equity (Re)9.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.96 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.09%
Debt weight (D/V)17.91%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1.60
Current Price$63.12
Upside / Downside-102.5%
Net Debt (used)$17.77M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term16.7%20.7%24.7%28.7%32.7%
7.0%$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60
8.0%$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60
9.0%$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60
10.0%$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60
11.0%$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60$-1.60

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.78
Yahoo: $50.92

Results

Graham Number$81.37
Current Price$63.12
Margin of Safety+28.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.85%
Computed WACC: 7.85%
Cost of equity (Re)9.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.96 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.09%
Debt weight (D/V)17.91%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$63.12
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth8.8%
Historical Earnings Growth24.7%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.98

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.19
Current Price$63.12
Upside / Downside-68.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $17.77M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-1.60
Current Price$63.12
Upside / Downside-102.5%
Implied EV$0