SMBK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($39.81)
DCF	$21.30	-46.5%
Graham Number	$46.64	+17.1%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$6.59	-83.4%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 10.1% / EPS: 42.0%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 7.43%

Computed WACC: 7.43%

Cost of equity (Re)8.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)86.96%

Debt weight (D/V)13.04%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$21.30

Current Price$39.81

Upside / Downside-46.5%

Net Debt (used)-$362.75M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	34.0%	38.0%	42.0%	46.0%	50.0%
7.0%	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30
8.0%	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30
9.0%	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30
10.0%	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30
11.0%	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30	$21.30

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $2.98

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $32.44

Results

Graham Number$46.64

Current Price$39.81

Margin of Safety+17.1%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 7.43%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 7.43%

Cost of equity (Re)8.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)86.96%

Debt weight (D/V)13.04%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$39.81

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth10.1%

Historical Earnings Growth42.0%

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $0.32

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$6.59

Current Price$39.81

Upside / Downside-83.4%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$362.75M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$21.30

Current Price$39.81

Upside / Downside-46.5%

Implied EV$0

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