SMPL

SMPL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($16.26)
DCF$25.19+54.9%
Graham Number$19.23+18.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -1.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$16.26+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $147.48M
Rev: -0.3% / EPS: -32.6%
Computed: 4.39%
Computed WACC: 4.39%
Cost of equity (Re)5.67%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.25 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.40%
Debt weight (D/V)22.60%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$94.28
Current Price$16.26
Upside / Downside+479.8%
Net Debt (used)$257.04M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$25.43$31.14$37.77$45.45$54.30
8.0%$20.41$25.00$30.34$36.50$43.59
9.0%$16.93$20.76$25.19$30.31$36.19
10.0%$14.38$17.64$21.42$25.77$30.77
11.0%$12.43$15.26$18.54$22.31$26.64

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.90
Yahoo: $18.25

Results

Graham Number$19.23
Current Price$16.26
Margin of Safety+18.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.39%
Computed WACC: 4.39%
Cost of equity (Re)5.67%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.25 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.40%
Debt weight (D/V)22.60%

Results

Current Price$16.26
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-17.8%
Historical Revenue Growth-0.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-32.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$147.48M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$16.26
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $246.80M
Current: 7.1×
Default: $257.04M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$16.26
Current Price$16.26
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$1.76B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.74B-$742.96M$257.04M$1.26B$2.26B
3.1x$27.20$16.40$5.60$-5.20$-16.01
5.1x$32.53$21.73$10.93$0.13$-10.68
7.1x$37.86$27.06$16.26$5.46$-5.34
9.1x$43.20$32.39$21.59$10.79$-0.01
11.1x$48.53$37.73$26.92$16.12$5.32