SNA

SNA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($389.59)
DCF$222.91-42.8%
Graham Number$222.33-42.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.8%
DDM$201.06-48.4%
EV/EBITDA$390.08+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $640.30M
Rev: 3.1% / EPS: 2.9%
Computed: 7.91%
Computed WACC: 7.91%
Cost of equity (Re)8.42%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.00%
Debt weight (D/V)6.00%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$267.06
Current Price$389.59
Upside / Downside-31.5%
Net Debt (used)-$330.80M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$224.77$268.94$320.32$379.79$448.28
8.0%$185.91$221.46$262.75$310.48$365.39
9.0%$158.98$188.58$222.91$262.54$308.08
10.0%$139.21$164.46$193.71$227.42$266.12
11.0%$124.08$146.02$171.39$200.60$234.08

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $19.21
Yahoo: $114.36

Results

Graham Number$222.33
Current Price$389.59
Margin of Safety-42.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.91%
Computed WACC: 7.91%
Cost of equity (Re)8.42%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.00%
Debt weight (D/V)6.00%

Results

Current Price$389.59
Implied Near-term FCF Growth11.4%
Historical Revenue Growth3.1%
Historical Earnings Growth2.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$640.30M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $9.76

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$201.06
Current Price$389.59
Upside / Downside-48.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.40B
Current: 14.3×
Default: -$330.80M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$390.08
Current Price$389.59
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Implied EV$19.92B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.33B-$1.33B-$330.80M$669.20M$1.67B
10.3x$321.06$301.79$282.53$263.27$244.01
12.3x$374.83$355.57$336.31$317.04$297.78
14.3x$428.61$409.34$390.08$370.82$351.55
16.3x$482.38$463.12$443.85$424.59$405.33
18.3x$536.15$516.89$497.63$478.37$459.10