SNCY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($19.01)
DCF	$3.09	-83.8%
Graham Number	$15.93	-16.2%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 24.8%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$19.01	+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $25.08M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 7.9% / EPS: -37.9%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 8.12%

Computed WACC: 8.12%

Cost of equity (Re)12.87%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.56 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)63.09%

Debt weight (D/V)36.91%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$4.71

Current Price$19.01

Upside / Downside-75.2%

Net Debt (used)$357.51M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-0.1%	3.9%	7.9%	11.9%	15.9%
7.0%	$3.35	$5.35	$7.66	$10.34	$13.41
8.0%	$1.51	$3.11	$4.97	$7.10	$9.56
9.0%	$0.24	$1.57	$3.10	$4.87	$6.90
10.0%	$-0.70	$0.43	$1.74	$3.24	$4.96
11.0%	$-1.41	$-0.43	$0.70	$1.99	$3.48

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.96

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $11.75

Results

Graham Number$15.93

Current Price$19.01

Margin of Safety-16.2%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 8.12%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 8.12%

Cost of equity (Re)12.87%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.56 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)63.09%

Debt weight (D/V)36.91%

Results

Current Price$19.01

Implied Near-term FCF Growth21.8%

Historical Revenue Growth7.9%

Historical Earnings Growth-37.9%

Base FCF (TTM)$25.08M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$19.01

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $201.34M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 6.8×

Net Debt($B)Default: $357.51M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$19.01

Current Price$19.01

Upside / Downside+0.0%

Implied EV$1.37B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.64B	-$642.49M	$357.51M	$1.36B	$2.36B
2.8x	$41.46	$22.67	$3.88	$-14.91	$-33.70
4.8x	$49.02	$30.23	$11.44	$-7.34	$-26.13
6.8x	$56.59	$37.80	$19.01	$0.22	$-18.57
8.8x	$64.15	$45.36	$26.58	$7.79	$-11.00
10.8x	$71.72	$52.93	$34.14	$15.35	$-3.44

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