SND

SND — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($4.20)
DCF$14.60+247.5%
Graham Number$3.72-11.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -15.3%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$5.69+35.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $33.79M
Rev: -5.8% / EPS: -73.5%
Computed: 5.15%
Computed WACC: 5.15%
Cost of equity (Re)6.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.18%
Debt weight (D/V)17.82%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$36.57
Current Price$4.20
Upside / Downside+770.8%
Net Debt (used)$13.63M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$14.72$17.77$21.32$25.42$30.14
8.0%$12.04$14.50$17.34$20.64$24.42
9.0%$10.19$12.23$14.60$17.33$20.47
10.0%$8.82$10.56$12.58$14.91$17.58
11.0%$7.78$9.29$11.04$13.06$15.37

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.10
Yahoo: $6.16

Results

Graham Number$3.72
Current Price$4.20
Margin of Safety-11.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.15%
Computed WACC: 5.15%
Cost of equity (Re)6.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.18%
Debt weight (D/V)17.82%

Results

Current Price$4.20
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-5.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-73.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$33.79M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$4.20
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $24.24M
Current: 9.9×
Default: $13.63M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.69
Current Price$4.20
Upside / Downside+35.5%
Implied EV$239.60M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.99B-$986.37M$13.63M$1.01B$2.01B
5.9x$53.61$28.43$3.25$-21.93$-47.11
7.9x$54.83$29.65$4.47$-20.71$-45.89
9.9x$56.05$30.87$5.69$-19.49$-44.67
11.9x$57.27$32.09$6.91$-18.27$-43.45
13.9x$58.49$33.31$8.13$-17.05$-42.23