SNDR

SNDR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($28.16)
DCF$2.27-91.9%
Graham Number$15.15-46.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 37.4%
DDM$8.24-70.7%
EV/EBITDA$53.49+89.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $26.36M
Rev: 4.5% / EPS: -29.9%
Computed: 9.19%
Computed WACC: 9.19%
Cost of equity (Re)10.12%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.06 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.86%
Debt weight (D/V)9.14%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2.12
Current Price$28.16
Upside / Downside-92.5%
Net Debt (used)$253.50M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$2.31$3.33$4.52$5.90$7.49
8.0%$1.41$2.23$3.19$4.30$5.57
9.0%$0.79$1.47$2.27$3.19$4.24
10.0%$0.33$0.91$1.59$2.37$3.27
11.0%$-0.02$0.49$1.07$1.75$2.53

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.59
Yahoo: $17.28

Results

Graham Number$15.15
Current Price$28.16
Margin of Safety-46.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.19%
Computed WACC: 9.19%
Cost of equity (Re)10.12%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.06 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.86%
Debt weight (D/V)9.14%

Results

Current Price$28.16
Implied Near-term FCF Growth38.1%
Historical Revenue Growth4.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-29.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$26.36M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$8.24
Current Price$28.16
Upside / Downside-70.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $587.80M
Current: 8.8×
Default: $253.50M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$53.49
Current Price$28.16
Upside / Downside+89.9%
Implied EV$5.19B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.75B-$746.50M$253.50M$1.25B$2.25B
4.8x$49.68$38.85$28.02$17.18$6.35
6.8x$62.42$51.59$40.75$29.92$19.09
8.8x$75.16$64.32$53.49$42.66$31.82
10.8x$87.89$77.06$66.22$55.39$44.56
12.8x$100.63$89.79$78.96$68.13$57.29