SO

SO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($97.39)
DCF$-140.11-243.9%
Graham Number$53.95-44.6%
Reverse DCF
DDM$60.98-37.4%
EV/EBITDA$101.59+4.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$3.46B
Rev: 10.1% / EPS: -22.1%
Computed: 5.68%
Computed WACC: 5.68%
Cost of equity (Re)6.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.21%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.14%
Debt weight (D/V)40.86%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-223.49
Current Price$97.39
Upside / Downside-329.5%
Net Debt (used)$72.44B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.1%6.1%10.1%14.1%18.1%
7.0%$-143.02$-158.12$-175.59$-195.69$-218.72
8.0%$-128.64$-140.72$-154.67$-170.71$-189.07
9.0%$-118.71$-128.70$-140.24$-153.48$-168.63
10.0%$-111.44$-119.92$-129.69$-140.90$-153.70
11.0%$-105.89$-113.22$-121.65$-131.31$-142.34

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.02
Yahoo: $32.18

Results

Graham Number$53.95
Current Price$97.39
Margin of Safety-44.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.68%
Computed WACC: 5.68%
Cost of equity (Re)6.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.21%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.14%
Debt weight (D/V)40.86%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$97.39
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth10.1%
Historical Earnings Growth-22.1%
Base FCF (TTM)-$3.46B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.96

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$60.98
Current Price$97.39
Upside / Downside-37.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $13.93B
Current: 13.2×
Default: $72.44B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$101.59
Current Price$97.39
Upside / Downside+4.3%
Implied EV$184.30B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$36.44B$54.44B$72.44B$90.44B$108.44B
9.2x$83.69$67.34$51.00$34.65$18.30
11.2x$108.99$92.64$76.29$59.95$43.60
13.2x$134.28$117.94$101.59$85.24$68.89
15.2x$159.58$143.23$126.89$110.54$94.19
17.2x$184.88$168.53$152.18$135.83$119.49