SOGP

SOGP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($14.07)
DCF$158.80+1028.6%
Graham Number$13.81-1.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$4212.96+29842.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 46.9% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$158.80
Current Price$14.07
Upside / Downside+1028.6%
Net Debt (used)-$477.02M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term38.9%42.9%46.9%50.9%54.9%
7.0%$158.80$158.80$158.80$158.80$158.80
8.0%$158.80$158.80$158.80$158.80$158.80
9.0%$158.80$158.80$158.80$158.80$158.80
10.0%$158.80$158.80$158.80$158.80$158.80
11.0%$158.80$158.80$158.80$158.80$158.80

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.88
Yahoo: $9.63

Results

Graham Number$13.81
Current Price$14.07
Margin of Safety-1.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$14.07
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth46.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$14.07
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $27.69M
Current: 439.8×
Default: -$477.02M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4212.96
Current Price$14.07
Upside / Downside+29842.8%
Implied EV$12.18B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.48B-$1.48B-$477.02M$522.98M$1.52B
435.8x$4841.88$4508.98$4176.09$3843.19$3510.29
437.8x$4860.32$4527.42$4194.52$3861.62$3528.73
439.8x$4878.75$4545.86$4212.96$3880.06$3547.16
441.8x$4897.19$4564.29$4231.39$3898.50$3565.60
443.8x$4915.63$4582.73$4249.83$3916.93$3584.03