SON

SON — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($56.38)
DCF$681.82+1109.3%
Graham Number$69.92+24.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -4.8%
DDM$43.67-22.5%
EV/EBITDA$56.57+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $999.87M
Rev: 29.7% / EPS: —
Computed: 3.79%
Computed WACC: 3.79%
Cost of equity (Re)6.96%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)54.49%
Debt weight (D/V)45.51%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$4335.37
Current Price$56.38
Upside / Downside+7589.5%
Net Debt (used)$4.27B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term21.7%25.7%29.7%33.7%37.7%
7.0%$777.14$916.31$1074.05$1252.15$1452.54
8.0%$607.14$716.58$840.55$980.46$1137.81
9.0%$490.62$579.70$680.55$794.32$922.23
10.0%$406.10$480.44$564.55$659.40$765.98
11.0%$342.23$405.44$476.93$557.49$647.99

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.93
Yahoo: $36.64

Results

Graham Number$69.92
Current Price$56.38
Margin of Safety+24.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.79%
Computed WACC: 3.79%
Cost of equity (Re)6.96%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)54.49%
Debt weight (D/V)45.51%

Results

Current Price$56.38
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth29.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$999.87M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.12

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$43.67
Current Price$56.38
Upside / Downside-22.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.27B
Current: 7.8×
Default: $4.27B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$56.57
Current Price$56.38
Upside / Downside+0.3%
Implied EV$9.85B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.27B$3.27B$4.27B$5.27B$6.27B
3.8x$25.48$15.34$5.20$-4.94$-15.08
5.8x$51.16$41.02$30.89$20.75$10.61
7.8x$76.85$66.71$56.57$46.44$36.30
9.8x$102.54$92.40$82.26$72.12$61.98
11.8x$128.23$118.09$107.95$97.81$87.67