SPB

SPB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($78.70)
DCF$1525.04+1837.8%
Graham Number$88.08+11.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -4.7%
DDM$38.73-50.8%
EV/EBITDA$78.38-0.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $241.90M
Rev: -3.3% / EPS: 43.5%
Computed: 5.80%
Computed WACC: 5.80%
Cost of equity (Re)8.01%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.67 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.42%
Debt weight (D/V)27.58%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$3496.51
Current Price$78.70
Upside / Downside+4342.8%
Net Debt (used)$571.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term35.5%39.5%43.5%47.5%51.5%
7.0%$1820.28$2103.58$2420.94$2775.35$3169.99
8.0%$1421.70$1642.71$1890.21$2166.55$2474.17
9.0%$1149.43$1327.92$1527.75$1750.79$1999.02
10.0%$952.68$1100.48$1265.89$1450.46$1655.82
11.0%$804.60$929.31$1068.84$1224.49$1397.63

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.23
Yahoo: $81.52

Results

Graham Number$88.08
Current Price$78.70
Margin of Safety+11.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.80%
Computed WACC: 5.80%
Cost of equity (Re)8.01%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.67 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.42%
Debt weight (D/V)27.58%

Results

Current Price$78.70
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-13.9%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.3%
Historical Earnings Growth43.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$241.90M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.88

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$38.73
Current Price$78.70
Upside / Downside-50.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $249.10M
Current: 9.6×
Default: $571.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$78.38
Current Price$78.70
Upside / Downside-0.4%
Implied EV$2.39B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.43B-$429.00M$571.00M$1.57B$2.57B
5.6x$121.64$78.54$35.43$-7.67$-50.78
7.6x$143.12$100.01$56.91$13.80$-29.30
9.6x$164.59$121.49$78.38$35.28$-7.83
11.6x$186.07$142.96$99.86$56.75$13.65
13.6x$207.54$164.44$121.33$78.23$35.12