SPCE

SPCE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($2.60)
DCF$-86.77-3437.5%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$356.63M
Rev: -9.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 4.70%
Computed WACC: 4.70%
Cost of equity (Re)16.53%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.22 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)28.45%
Debt weight (D/V)71.55%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-256.24
Current Price$2.60
Upside / Downside-9955.3%
Net Debt (used)$84.59M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-87.51$-104.97$-125.29$-148.80$-175.88
8.0%$-72.14$-86.20$-102.53$-121.40$-143.11
9.0%$-61.50$-73.20$-86.77$-102.44$-120.45
10.0%$-53.68$-63.66$-75.23$-88.56$-103.86
11.0%$-47.70$-56.37$-66.40$-77.95$-91.19

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-6.84
Yahoo: $3.58

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$2.60
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.70%
Computed WACC: 4.70%
Cost of equity (Re)16.53%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.22 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)28.45%
Debt weight (D/V)71.55%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$2.60
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-9.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$356.63M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$2.60
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$289.83M
Current: -0.8×
Default: $84.59M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.20
Current Price$2.60
Upside / Downside-15.2%
Implied EV$245.77M