SPH

SPH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($20.59)
DCF$4544.57+21971.7%
Graham Number$20.66+0.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 25.6%
DDM$26.78+30.1%
EV/EBITDA$20.59+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $49.03M
Rev: -0.8% / EPS: 130.0%
Computed: 5.71%
Computed WACC: 5.71%
Cost of equity (Re)6.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.30%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.76%
Debt weight (D/V)51.24%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$11535.42
Current Price$20.59
Upside / Downside+55924.4%
Net Debt (used)$1.43B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term122.0%126.0%130.0%134.0%138.0%
7.0%$6300.21$6889.82$7522.65$8201.02$8927.35
8.0%$4812.68$5263.39$5747.12$6265.66$6820.85
9.0%$3805.18$4161.81$4544.57$4954.86$5394.14
10.0%$3083.99$3373.28$3683.76$4016.57$4372.89
11.0%$2546.69$2785.83$3042.47$3317.55$3612.07

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.01
Yahoo: $9.44

Results

Graham Number$20.66
Current Price$20.59
Margin of Safety+0.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.71%
Computed WACC: 5.71%
Cost of equity (Re)6.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.30%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.76%
Debt weight (D/V)51.24%

Results

Current Price$20.59
Implied Near-term FCF Growth12.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-0.8%
Historical Earnings Growth130.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$49.03M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.30

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$26.78
Current Price$20.59
Upside / Downside+30.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $285.83M
Current: 9.8×
Default: $1.43B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$20.59
Current Price$20.59
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$2.80B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.43B$1.43B$1.43B$1.43B$1.43B
5.8x$3.35$3.35$3.35$3.35$3.35
7.8x$11.97$11.97$11.97$11.97$11.97
9.8x$20.59$20.59$20.59$20.59$20.59
11.8x$29.21$29.21$29.21$29.21$29.21
13.8x$37.83$37.83$37.83$37.83$37.83