SPHR

SPHR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($114.40)
DCF$745.49+551.6%
Graham Number$32.37-71.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -2.8%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$141.83+24.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $336.34M
Rev: 27.9% / EPS: —
Computed: 10.99%
Computed WACC: 10.99%
Cost of equity (Re)13.59%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.69 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)80.86%
Debt weight (D/V)19.14%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$534.65
Current Price$114.40
Upside / Downside+367.4%
Net Debt (used)$453.68M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term19.9%23.9%27.9%31.9%35.9%
7.0%$842.74$990.36$1157.94$1347.46$1561.03
8.0%$665.97$782.18$914.03$1063.06$1230.93
9.0%$544.75$639.44$746.82$868.14$1004.72
10.0%$456.77$535.87$625.53$726.76$840.69
11.0%$390.24$457.58$533.85$619.93$716.76

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.74
Yahoo: $62.91

Results

Graham Number$32.37
Current Price$114.40
Margin of Safety-71.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.99%
Computed WACC: 10.99%
Cost of equity (Re)13.59%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.69 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)80.86%
Debt weight (D/V)19.14%

Results

Current Price$114.40
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.6%
Historical Revenue Growth27.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$336.34M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$114.40
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $182.28M
Current: 24.8×
Default: $453.68M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$141.83
Current Price$114.40
Upside / Downside+24.0%
Implied EV$4.52B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.55B-$546.32M$453.68M$1.45B$2.45B
20.8x$186.21$151.29$116.37$81.45$46.53
22.8x$198.95$164.02$129.10$94.18$59.26
24.8x$211.68$176.75$141.83$106.91$71.99
26.8x$224.41$189.49$154.56$119.64$84.72
28.8x$237.14$202.22$167.30$132.37$97.45