SPIR

SPIR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($9.12)
DCF$-17.10-287.5%
Graham Number$5.66-37.9%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$37.04M
Rev: -55.7% / EPS: —
Computed: 17.77%
Computed WACC: 17.77%
Cost of equity (Re)17.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)18.00%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.01%
Debt weight (D/V)3.99%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5.70
Current Price$9.12
Upside / Downside-162.6%
Net Debt (used)-$84.22M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-17.27$-21.28$-25.94$-31.33$-37.55
8.0%$-13.74$-16.97$-20.72$-25.05$-30.03
9.0%$-11.30$-13.99$-17.10$-20.70$-24.83
10.0%$-9.51$-11.80$-14.45$-17.51$-21.02
11.0%$-8.13$-10.12$-12.43$-15.08$-18.11

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.35
Yahoo: $4.07

Results

Graham Number$5.66
Current Price$9.12
Margin of Safety-37.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 17.77%
Computed WACC: 17.77%
Cost of equity (Re)17.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)18.00%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.01%
Debt weight (D/V)3.99%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$9.12
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-55.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$37.04M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$9.12
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$78.57M
Current: -2.8×
Default: -$84.22M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$9.12
Current Price$9.12
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$217.63M