SPSC

SPSC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($58.41)
DCF$591.33+912.4%
Graham Number$37.91-35.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 3.9%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$58.41-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $124.24M
Rev: 12.7% / EPS: 46.9%
Computed: 7.73%
Computed WACC: 7.73%
Cost of equity (Re)7.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.63 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.67%
Debt weight (D/V)0.33%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$775.43
Current Price$58.41
Upside / Downside+1227.6%
Net Debt (used)-$144.16M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term38.9%42.9%46.9%50.9%54.9%
7.0%$707.77$813.30$931.22$1062.59$1208.52
8.0%$554.57$636.77$728.61$830.88$944.48
9.0%$449.98$516.27$590.31$672.74$764.28
10.0%$374.46$429.27$490.46$558.58$634.21
11.0%$317.66$363.84$415.39$472.75$536.42

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.46
Yahoo: $25.96

Results

Graham Number$37.91
Current Price$58.41
Margin of Safety-35.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.73%
Computed WACC: 7.73%
Cost of equity (Re)7.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.63 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.67%
Debt weight (D/V)0.33%

Results

Current Price$58.41
Implied Near-term FCF Growth0.3%
Historical Revenue Growth12.7%
Historical Earnings Growth46.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$124.24M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$58.41
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $176.56M
Current: 11.6×
Default: -$144.16M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$58.41
Current Price$58.41
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$2.04B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.14B-$1.14B-$144.16M$855.84M$1.86B
7.6x$93.01$66.27$39.52$12.78$-13.97
9.6x$102.45$75.71$48.97$22.22$-4.52
11.6x$111.90$85.15$58.41$31.66$4.92
13.6x$121.34$94.60$67.85$41.11$14.36
15.6x$130.79$104.04$77.30$50.55$23.81